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  • 1
    What is the market size for fermentation-derived ingredients for alternative meats?

    $664.3M

    • 1.1
      What is the share of plant-based meat products that utilize fermentation in their production?

      14.3%

    • 1.2
      What is the profit margin of plant-based meat products?

      30%

$664.3M

What is the market size for fermentation-derived ingredients for alternative meats?
Key ParameterValueSource

the global market size for alternative meat products in USD in 2023    (G)

6.4B

1

the share of plant-based meat products on the market that use fermentation    (SF​)

14.3%

logo1.1

the profit margin of plant-based meat products    (P)

30%

logo1.2

the growth rate of the market between June 2023 (date of the GFI report) and July 2024    (R)

3.7%

4

G×SF​ is the total market of size of alternative meat products that use fermentation.

Multiplying this with (1−P) (one minus the average profit margin for such products) gives us the total cost of producing those goods.

Since we only have data from June 2023, we multiply the value with a factor representing the growth of the market between June 2023 and July 2024.

NOTE: Around 52% of the production capacity for fermentation-based products lies with Contract Manufacturing Organizations [5]. Many producers of plant-based products have in-house capacities or only source some part of their production from CMOs.

 

Final calculation


We estimate the global size of the market M for fermentation-derived ingredients of alternative meat products as

M=G⋅SF​⋅(1−P)⋅(1+R)

M=6.4B⋅14.3% ⋅(1−.30)⋅(1+.037)

M=664.3M

Supporting Evidence
  • [1]
    The global market for plant-based meat alternatives was $6.4B in 2023.
    gfi.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/2023_State-of-the-Industry-Report-Plant-based-meat-seafood-eggs-and-dairy.pdf
  • [logo1.1]
    FutureSearch's answer toWhat is the share of plant-based meat products that utilize fermentation in their production? is

    14.3%

  • [logo1.2]
    FutureSearch's estimate forWhat is the profit margin of plant-based meat products?
    is

    30% (90% CI: [20, 40])

  • [4]
    The global market for plant-based meat and dairy alternatives is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.7% from 2022 to 2027.
    www.ey.com/en_us/insights/strategy/how-alternative-proteins-are-reshaping-meat-industries
  • [5]
    The share of production of fermentation-based products done by CMOs, rather than in-house, is 52.2%.
    gfi.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/SCI23024_FERM-manufacturing-capacity-analysis_Final.pdf